Emerson Jones vs Julieta Pareja · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • Jun 5, 2025 • 11:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Emerson Jones
Key insights
Player performance profile
Emerson Jones
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,297 points across 10 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,297 points across 10 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 90% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -12.3 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Julieta Pareja
45% · 5–6 on hard
73% · 11–4 on clay
83% · 5–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~912 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~912 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 51% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 95% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.7 | 26% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Emerson Jones and Julieta Pareja are set to meet at the French Open on June 5, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Jones enters with a 4–1 record on clay courts in 2025, while Pareja has posted a 11–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Jones, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Jones leads 2–0 over Pareja, including a win in their most recent meeting.