Carlos Lopez Montagud vs Daniel Merida Aguilar · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Cordoba • Clay • Jun 4, 2025 • 12:10 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Daniel Merida Aguilar
Key insights
Player performance profile
Carlos Lopez Montagud
0% · 0–3 on hard
60% · 38–25 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Daniel Merida Aguilar
63% · 15–9 on hard
69% · 35–16 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,529 points across 16 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,529 points across 16 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.3 | 95% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.8 | 86% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 70% | 92% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Carlos Lopez Montagud and Daniel Merida Aguilar are set to meet at the M25 Cordoba on June 4, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Montagud enters with a 38–25 record on clay courts in 2025, while Aguilar has posted a 35–16 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Aguilar entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Aguilar leads 5–1 over Montagud, including a win in their most recent meeting.