Madison Keys vs Coco Gauff · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • Jun 4, 2025 • 9:10 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Coco Gauff
Key insights
Player performance profile
Madison Keys
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
61%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,531 points across 63 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,531 points across 63 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.2 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 59% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.4 | 86% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 75% | 93% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Coco Gauff
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
59%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,627 points across 84 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,627 points across 84 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 72% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.0 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.4 | 86% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 69% | 87% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Madison Keys and Coco Gauff are set to meet at the French Open on June 4, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Keys enters with a 9–4 record on clay courts in 2025, while Gauff has posted a 18–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Gauff entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 3 wins.