Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • Jun 3, 2025 • 1:40 PM
Final score
3 - 1
Winner Lorenzo Musetti
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lorenzo Musetti
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,579 points across 66 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,579 points across 66 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 84% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 86% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.1 | 49% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 87% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Frances Tiafoe
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,041 points across 53 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,041 points across 53 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.8 | 49% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 61% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 55% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 56% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lorenzo Musetti and Frances Tiafoe are set to meet at the French Open on June 3, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Musetti enters with a 19–4 record on clay courts in 2025, while Tiafoe has posted a 11–7 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Musetti entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Tiafoe leads 3–2 over Musetti.