Madison Keys vs Hailey Baptiste · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • Jun 2, 2025 • 12:55 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Madison Keys
Key insights
Player performance profile
Madison Keys
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,643 points across 57 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,643 points across 57 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.1 | 88% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 58% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.8 | 85% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 74% | 89% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Hailey Baptiste
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,257 points across 58 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,257 points across 58 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.4 | 81% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.9 | 29% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 42% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Madison Keys and Hailey Baptiste are set to meet at the French Open on June 2, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Keys enters with a 9–4 record on clay courts in 2025, while Baptiste has posted a 11–6 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Keys, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Keys leads 3–1 over Baptiste, including a win in their most recent meeting.