Madison Keys vs Hailey Baptiste · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • Jun 2, 2025 • 12:55 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Madison Keys
Key insights
Player performance profile
Madison Keys
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,164 points across 61 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,164 points across 61 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.2 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.2 | 85% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 75% | 91% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Hailey Baptiste
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,935 points across 62 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,935 points across 62 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.4 | 83% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.7 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.6 | 32% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 55% | 56% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Madison Keys and Hailey Baptiste are set to meet at the French Open on June 2, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Keys enters with a 9–4 record on clay courts in 2025, while Baptiste has posted a 11–6 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Keys entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Keys leads 3–1 over Baptiste, including a win in their most recent meeting.