Alexei Popyrin vs Tommy Paul · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • Jun 1, 2025 • 9:15 AM
Final score
0 - 3
Winner Tommy Paul
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexei Popyrin
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,023 points across 40 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,023 points across 40 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 50% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.7 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.4 | 61% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 77% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Tommy Paul
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,895 points across 44 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,895 points across 44 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 73% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 91% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.4 | 53% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 48% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexei Popyrin and Tommy Paul are set to meet at the French Open on June 1, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Popyrin enters with a 9–6 record on clay courts in 2025, while Paul has posted a 12–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Paul entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Paul leads 4–1 over Popyrin, including a win in their most recent meeting.