Elena Rybakina vs Jelena Ostapenko · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • May 30, 2025 • 3:20 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Elena Rybakina
Key insights
Player performance profile
Elena Rybakina
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,252 points across 78 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,252 points across 78 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 7.6 | 100% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 36% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.6 | 63% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 58% | 67% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jelena Ostapenko
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,176 points across 36 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,176 points across 36 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 74% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.0 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 27% | 12% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Elena Rybakina and Jelena Ostapenko are set to meet at the French Open on May 30, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Rybakina enters with a 9–3 record on clay courts in 2025, while Ostapenko has posted a 9–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Rybakina entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Rybakina leads 4–1 over Ostapenko, including a win in their most recent meeting.