Elena Rybakina vs Jelena Ostapenko · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • May 30, 2025 • 3:20 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Elena Rybakina
Key insights
Player performance profile
Elena Rybakina
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,339 points across 85 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,339 points across 85 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 7.5 | 100% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 35% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.2 | 69% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 59% | 71% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jelena Ostapenko
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,809 points across 40 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,809 points across 40 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.4 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 36% | 22% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Elena Rybakina and Jelena Ostapenko are set to meet at the French Open on May 30, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Rybakina enters with a 9–3 record on clay courts in 2025, while Ostapenko has posted a 9–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Rybakina entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Rybakina leads 4–1 over Ostapenko, including a win in their most recent meeting.