Flavio Cobolli vs Matteo Arnaldi · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • May 29, 2025 • 12:55 PM
Final score
3 - 1
Winner Flavio Cobolli
Key insights
Player performance profile
Flavio Cobolli
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,422 points across 76 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,422 points across 76 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 26% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 73% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.4 | 46% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 60% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Matteo Arnaldi
100% · 1–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
39%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,900 points across 54 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,900 points across 54 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 34% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.9 | 79% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 68% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Flavio Cobolli and Matteo Arnaldi are set to meet at the French Open on May 29, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Cobolli enters with a 15–6 record on clay courts in 2025, while Arnaldi has posted a 7–6 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Cobolli entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Arnaldi leads 3–2 over Cobolli.