Daria Kasatkina vs Katerina Siniakova · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • May 26, 2025 • 2:40 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Daria Kasatkina
Key insights
Player performance profile
Daria Kasatkina
44% · 4–5 on hard
71% · 5–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,499 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,499 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.1 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.6 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 53% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Katerina Siniakova
50% · 7–7 on hard
75% · 3–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,283 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,283 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 60% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.5 | 74% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 73% | 91% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Daria Kasatkina and Katerina Siniakova are set to meet at the French Open on May 26, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Kasatkina enters with a 5–5 record on clay courts in 2025, while Siniakova has posted a 3–5 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.