Katarzyna Kawa vs Lourdes Carle Maria · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • May 22, 2025 • 8:10 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Lourdes Carle Maria
Key insights
Player performance profile
Katarzyna Kawa
Games won (last 10)
39%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,613 points across 30 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,613 points across 30 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.8 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 67% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.0 | 28% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 42% | 31% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lourdes Carle Maria
44% · 7–9 on hard
55% · 26–21 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,688 points across 27 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,688 points across 27 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.0 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.2 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 17% | 6% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Katarzyna Kawa and Lourdes Carle Maria are set to meet at the French Open on May 22, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Kawa enters with a 20–11 record on clay courts in 2025, while Maria has posted a 26–21 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Kawa, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Maria leads 2–1 over Kawa, including a win in their most recent meeting.