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Match analytics

August Holmgren vs Agustin Tirante Thiago · Match odds & ELO prediction

French Open • Clay • May 21, 2025 • 8:10 AM

Clay

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Agustin Tirante Thiago

Key insights

Player performance profile

August Holmgren

HARD

50% · 1515 on hard

CLAY

27% · 38 on clay

GRASS

71% · 52 on grass

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~2,948 points across 15 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
4.493% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-6.04% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+4.181% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Elite
80%98% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Agustin Tirante Thiago

HARDSmall sample

100% · 10 on hard

Games won (last 10)

58%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~5,032 points across 34 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.257% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.439% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-6.37% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
25%5% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

August Holmgren and Agustin Tirante Thiago are set to meet at the French Open on May 21, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Holmgren enters with a 3–8 record on clay courts in 2025, while Thiago has posted a 35–22 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Holmgren entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Thiago leads 3–0 over Holmgren, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Holmgren and Thiago have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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