Margaux Rouvroy vs Haruka Kaji · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • May 19, 2025 • 11:45 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Margaux Rouvroy
Key insights
Player performance profile
Margaux Rouvroy
50% · 11–11 on hard
41% · 12–17 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~976 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~976 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 26% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.1 | 92% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.9 | 76% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 29% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Haruka Kaji
50% · 25–25 on hard
22% · 2–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
40%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~661 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~661 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.7 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.0 | 28% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Margaux Rouvroy and Haruka Kaji are set to meet at the French Open on May 19, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Rouvroy enters with a 12–17 record on clay courts in 2025, while Kaji has posted a 2–7 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Rouvroy leads 2–0 over Kaji, including a win in their most recent meeting.

