BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

McCartney Kessler vs Renata Zarazua · Match odds & ELO prediction

Strasbourg • Clay • May 18, 2025 • 9:10 AM

Clay

Final score

2 - 0

Winner McCartney Kessler

Key insights

Player performance profile

McCartney Kessler

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,261 points across 53 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.452% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-0.455% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.664% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
60%76% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Renata Zarazua

HARDSmall sample

75% · 31 on hard

Games won (last 10)

40%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~5,999 points across 40 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.227% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-0.553% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-1.733% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
44%37% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

McCartney Kessler and Renata Zarazua are set to meet at the Strasbourg on May 18, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Kessler enters with a 4–6 record on clay courts in 2025, while Zarazua has posted a 9–9 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Kessler, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Kessler leads 3–0 over Zarazua, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Kessler and Zarazua alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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