Carol Zhao vs Carolina Alves · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rabat • Clay • May 17, 2025 • 10:10 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Carolina Alves
Key insights
Player performance profile
Carol Zhao
50% · 11–11 on hard
27% · 3–8 on clay
67% · 4–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
41%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,332 points across 8 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,332 points across 8 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 31% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -7.3 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Carolina Alves
0% · 0–1 on hard
60% · 43–29 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~766 points across 5 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~766 points across 5 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.8 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 66% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.2 | 49% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Carol Zhao and Carolina Alves are set to meet at the Rabat on May 17, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Zhao enters with a 3–8 record on clay courts in 2025, while Alves has posted a 43–29 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.