BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Alex Rybakov vs Garrett Johns · Match odds & ELO prediction

M25 Pensacola, FL • Clay • May 17, 2025 • 3:10 PM

Clay

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Alex Rybakov

Key insights

Player performance profile

Alex Rybakov

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~0 points across 0 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.037% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.084% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
0.047% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Garrett Johns

HARD

44% · 45 on hard

CLAY

58% · 118 on clay

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~254 points across 2 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.649% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
1.494% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.450% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Alex Rybakov and Garrett Johns are set to meet at the M25 Pensacola, FL on May 17, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Rybakov enters with a 8–6 record on clay courts in 2025, while Johns has posted a 21–10 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Johns, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Rybakov leads 3–0 over Johns, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Rybakov, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Johns has gone 2–3 over the same span.
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