Alex Rybakov vs Garrett Johns · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Pensacola, FL • Clay • May 17, 2025 • 3:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alex Rybakov
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alex Rybakov
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Garrett Johns
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~254 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~254 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 48% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.4 | 94% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.4 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alex Rybakov and Garrett Johns are set to meet at the M25 Pensacola, FL on May 17, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Rybakov enters with a 8–6 record on clay courts in 2025, while Johns has posted a 21–10 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Johns, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Rybakov leads 3–0 over Johns, including a win in their most recent meeting.