Match analytics

Martin Etcheverry Tomas vs Alexander Bublik · Match odds & ELO prediction

Turin 2 • Hard • May 16, 2025 • 5:35 PM

Hard

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Alexander Bublik

Key insights

Player performance profile

Martin Etcheverry Tomas

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

54%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,310 points across 58 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.649% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.655% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.743% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
41%26% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Alexander Bublik

HARDSmall sample

100% · 40 on hard

Games won (last 10)

57%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,690 points across 64 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
3.589% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.123% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
+0.049% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
43%30% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Martin Etcheverry Tomas and Alexander Bublik are set to meet at the Turin 2 on May 16, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Tomas enters with a 16–14 record on hard courts in 2025, while Bublik has posted a 20–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Tomas entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Bublik leads 1–0 over Tomas, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Tomas and Bublik have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.