Tommy Paul vs Roberto Bautista-Agut · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 10, 2025 • 9:00 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Tommy Paul
Key insights
Player performance profile
Tommy Paul
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,895 points across 44 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,895 points across 44 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 73% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 91% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.4 | 53% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 48% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Roberto Bautista-Agut
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,759 points across 37 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,759 points across 37 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 26% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 43% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.1 | 39% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 32% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Tommy Paul and Roberto Bautista-Agut are set to meet at the Rome on May 10, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Paul enters with a 12–4 record on clay courts in 2025, while Bautista-Agut has posted a 6–8 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Paul entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Paul leads 4–1 over Bautista-Agut, including a win in their most recent meeting.