Yan Bai vs Luca Castelnuovo · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Baotou • Clay • May 9, 2025 • 2:10 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Yan Bai
Key insights
Player performance profile
Yan Bai
65% · 20–11 on hard
90% · 9–1 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Luca Castelnuovo
65% · 36–19 on hard
60% · 3–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Match Overview
Yan Bai and Luca Castelnuovo are set to meet at the M25 Baotou on May 9, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Bai enters with a 9–1 record on clay courts in 2025, while Castelnuovo has posted a 3–2 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Bai leads 3–0 over Castelnuovo, including a win in their most recent meeting.