Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 9, 2025 • 1:15 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Daniil Medvedev
Key insights
Player performance profile
Cameron Norrie
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,880 points across 80 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,880 points across 80 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.4 | 60% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 51% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.6 | 72% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 55% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Daniil Medvedev
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,126 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,126 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 78% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 95% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.7 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 54% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Cameron Norrie and Daniil Medvedev are set to meet at the Rome on May 9, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Norrie enters with a 14–7 record on clay courts in 2025, while Medvedev has posted a 6–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Norrie, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Medvedev leads 5–1 over Norrie, including a win in their most recent meeting.