Jelena Ostapenko vs Rebecca Sramkova · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 8, 2025 • 10:55 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Jelena Ostapenko
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jelena Ostapenko
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,809 points across 40 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,809 points across 40 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.4 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 36% | 22% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Rebecca Sramkova
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,203 points across 56 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,203 points across 56 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 47% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.6 | 54% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 63% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jelena Ostapenko and Rebecca Sramkova are set to meet at the Rome on May 8, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Ostapenko enters with a 9–4 record on clay courts in 2025, while Sramkova has posted a 2–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Ostapenko entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Ostapenko leads 3–0 over Sramkova, including a win in their most recent meeting.