BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Alexander Bublik vs Roman Safiullin · Match odds & ELO prediction

Rome • Clay • May 8, 2025 • 2:30 PM

Clay

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Alexander Bublik

Key insights

Player performance profile

Alexander Bublik

HARDSmall sample

100% · 40 on hard

Games won (last 10)

43%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~11,368 points across 74 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
3.892% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.223% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+4.182% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
61%77% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Roman Safiullin

HARD

43% · 912 on hard

CLAY

43% · 34 on clay

GRASS

20% · 14 on grass

Games won (last 10)

55%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~4,658 points across 26 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.460% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-3.027% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-5.410% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
41%24% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Alexander Bublik and Roman Safiullin are set to meet at the Rome on May 8, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Bublik enters with a 23–6 record on clay courts in 2025, while Safiullin has posted a 3–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Bublik entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Safiullin leads 2–1 over Bublik.

Recent singles form slightly favors Safiullin, who has won 5 of his last five matches, while Bublik has gone 2–3 over the same span.
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