Mees Rottgering vs Daniel Rincon · Match odds & ELO prediction
Prague • Clay • May 6, 2025 • 3:00 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Mees Rottgering
Key insights
Player performance profile
Mees Rottgering
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~204 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~204 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 89% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.5 | 30% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Daniel Rincon
74% · 17–6 on hard
42% · 15–21 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~380 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~380 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.7 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Mees Rottgering and Daniel Rincon are set to meet at the Prague on May 6, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Rottgering enters with a 10–10 record on clay courts in 2025, while Rincon has posted a 15–21 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Rincon, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.