Katie Volynets vs Varvara Lepchenko · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 6, 2025 • 8:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Katie Volynets
Key insights
Player performance profile
Katie Volynets
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,207 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,207 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.3 | 94% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.0 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 30% | 14% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Varvara Lepchenko
52% · 17–16 on hard
55% · 21–17 on clay
25% · 1–3 on grass
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,537 points across 26 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,537 points across 26 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 33% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.9 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.8 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 28% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Katie Volynets and Varvara Lepchenko are set to meet at the Rome on May 6, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Volynets enters with a 13–8 record on clay courts in 2025, while Lepchenko has posted a 21–17 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Volynets entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Volynets leads 2–1 over Lepchenko, including a win in their most recent meeting.