Match analytics

Kimberly Birrell vs Sonay Kartal · Match odds & ELO prediction

Rome • Clay • May 6, 2025 • 2:55 PM

Clay

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Sonay Kartal

Key insights

Player performance profile

Kimberly Birrell

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,603 points across 56 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.062% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.845% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.742% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
58%68% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Sonay Kartal

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

60%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,310 points across 44 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
3.189% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.943% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.754% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
50%46% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Kimberly Birrell and Sonay Kartal are set to meet at the Rome on May 6, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Birrell enters with a 1–5 record on clay courts in 2025, while Kartal has posted a 4–5 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Kartal leads 2–1 over Birrell, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Birrell and Kartal alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.