Daniel Rincon vs Denis Yevseyev · Match odds & ELO prediction
Prague • Clay • May 5, 2025 • 9:40 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Daniel Rincon
Key insights
Player performance profile
Daniel Rincon
74% · 17–6 on hard
42% · 15–21 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~380 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~380 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.7 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Denis Yevseyev
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~586 points across 5 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~586 points across 5 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.5 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 67% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.5 | 62% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Daniel Rincon and Denis Yevseyev are set to meet at the Prague on May 5, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Rincon enters with a 15–21 record on clay courts in 2025, while Yevseyev has posted a 9–16 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Rincon, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Rincon leads 3–2 over Yevseyev, including a win in their most recent meeting.