Jan Choinski vs Henrique Rocha · Match odds & ELO prediction
Prague • Clay • May 6, 2025 • 8:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Jan Choinski
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jan Choinski
45% · 5–6 on hard
33% · 4–8 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,075 points across 13 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,075 points across 13 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.4 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.2 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 16% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Henrique Rocha
20% · 1–4 on hard
70% · 16–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,845 points across 26 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,845 points across 26 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.3 | 58% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 77% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.5 | 26% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 26% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jan Choinski and Henrique Rocha are set to meet at the Prague on May 6, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Choinski enters with a 31–15 record on clay courts in 2025, while Rocha has posted a 15–17 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Choinski, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Rocha leads 2–1 over Choinski, including a win in their most recent meeting.