Francesco Maestrelli vs Lorenzo Carboni · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 5 • Clay • May 1, 2025 • 9:40 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Lorenzo Carboni
Key insights
Player performance profile
Francesco Maestrelli
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~441 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~441 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 33% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 27% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.5 | 97% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lorenzo Carboni
70% · 21–9 on hard
56% · 22–17 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Match Overview
Francesco Maestrelli and Lorenzo Carboni are set to meet at the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 5 on May 1, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Maestrelli enters with a 28–18 record on clay courts in 2025, while Carboni has posted a 22–17 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Maestrelli, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Carboni leads 2–1 over Maestrelli, including a win in their most recent meeting.