BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Yan Bai vs Luca Castelnuovo · Match odds & ELO prediction

M25 Anning • Clay • May 1, 2025 • 5:05 AM

Clay

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Yan Bai

Key insights

Player performance profile

Yan Bai

HARD

65% · 2011 on hard

CLAY

90% · 91 on clay

GRASSSmall sample

0% · 01 on grass

Games won (last 10)

54%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~0 points across 0 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.036% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.084% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
0.048% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Luca Castelnuovo

HARD

65% · 3619 on hard

CLAY

60% · 32 on clay

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Match Overview

Yan Bai and Luca Castelnuovo are set to meet at the M25 Anning on May 1, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Bai enters with a 9–1 record on clay courts in 2025, while Castelnuovo has posted a 3–2 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Bai leads 3–0 over Castelnuovo, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Bai and Castelnuovo alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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