Alana Smith vs Maria Mateas · Match odds & ELO prediction
W100 Bonita Springs, FL • Clay • Apr 30, 2025 • 5:55 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Maria Mateas
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alana Smith
24% · 5–16 on hard
45% · 5–6 on clay
60% · 3–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~610 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~610 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 30% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.1 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Maria Mateas
50% · 13–13 on hard
42% · 5–7 on clay
0% · 0–3 on grass
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~808 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~808 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.1 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.1 | 77% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alana Smith and Maria Mateas are set to meet at the W100 Bonita Springs, FL on April 30, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Smith enters with a 5–6 record on clay courts in 2025, while Mateas has posted a 5–7 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Smith leads 2–1 over Mateas.