Alexei Popyrin vs Stan Wawrinka · Match odds & ELO prediction
Aix en Provence • Clay • May 1, 2025 • 1:10 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Stan Wawrinka
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexei Popyrin
18% · 2–9 on hard
40% · 2–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,243 points across 50 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,243 points across 50 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 55% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.5 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.3 | 35% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 48% | 40% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Stan Wawrinka
43% · 6–8 on hard
20% · 1–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,373 points across 26 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,373 points across 26 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 31% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.5 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -8.2 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 29% | 9% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexei Popyrin and Stan Wawrinka are set to meet at the Aix en Provence on May 1, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Popyrin enters with a 9–6 record on clay courts in 2025, while Wawrinka has posted a 11–12 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Popyrin entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Popyrin leads 2–1 over Wawrinka.