Alexei Popyrin vs Stan Wawrinka · Match odds & ELO prediction
Aix en Provence • Clay • May 1, 2025 • 1:10 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Stan Wawrinka
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexei Popyrin
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,023 points across 40 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,023 points across 40 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 50% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.7 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.4 | 61% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 77% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Stan Wawrinka
20% · 1–4 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,213 points across 19 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,213 points across 19 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -7.1 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 36% | 21% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexei Popyrin and Stan Wawrinka are set to meet at the Aix en Provence on May 1, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Popyrin enters with a 9–6 record on clay courts in 2025, while Wawrinka has posted a 11–12 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Popyrin entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Popyrin leads 2–1 over Wawrinka.