Adam Walton vs Alibek Kachmazov · Match odds & ELO prediction
Guangzhou • Hard • May 1, 2025 • 4:50 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Alibek Kachmazov
Key insights
Player performance profile
Adam Walton
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
41%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,256 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,256 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 41% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.6 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 25% | 6% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alibek Kachmazov
47% · 16–18 on hard
0% · 0–1 on clay
0% · 0–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,052 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,052 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 69% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.5 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Adam Walton and Alibek Kachmazov are set to meet at the Guangzhou on May 1, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Walton enters with a 33–27 record on hard courts in 2025, while Kachmazov has posted a 16–18 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Kachmazov, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Kachmazov leads 3–0 over Walton, including a win in their most recent meeting.