Mirra Andreeva vs Coco Gauff · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 30, 2025 • 1:15 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Coco Gauff
Key insights
Player performance profile
Mirra Andreeva
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,754 points across 63 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,754 points across 63 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.5 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 82% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.9 | 66% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 52% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Coco Gauff
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,515 points across 71 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,515 points across 71 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 70% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.0 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.2 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 79% | 91% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Mirra Andreeva and Coco Gauff are set to meet at the Madrid on April 30, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Andreeva enters with a 11–4 record on clay courts in 2025, while Gauff has posted a 18–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Gauff entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Gauff leads 4–0 over Andreeva, including a win in their most recent meeting.