Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapova · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 29, 2025 • 7:35 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Marta Kostyuk
Key insights
Player performance profile
Marta Kostyuk
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
63%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,442 points across 56 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,442 points across 56 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.9 | 75% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.8 | 82% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.8 | 42% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 36% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Anastasia Potapova
50% · 2–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,588 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,588 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 51% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 49% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.8 | 58% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 64% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Marta Kostyuk and Anastasia Potapova are set to meet at the Madrid on April 29, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Kostyuk enters with a 6–3 record on clay courts in 2025, while Potapova has posted a 6–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Kostyuk, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.