Madison Keys vs Donna Vekic · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 29, 2025 • 12:00 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Madison Keys
Key insights
Player performance profile
Madison Keys
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,164 points across 61 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,164 points across 61 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.2 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.2 | 85% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 75% | 91% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Donna Vekic
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,434 points across 47 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,434 points across 47 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 34% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.6 | 94% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 71% | 88% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Madison Keys and Donna Vekic are set to meet at the Madrid on April 29, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Keys enters with a 9–4 record on clay courts in 2025, while Vekic has posted a 3–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Keys entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Keys leads 3–1 over Vekic, including a win in their most recent meeting.