Elena Rybakina vs Elina Svitolina · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 27, 2025 • 6:10 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Elina Svitolina
Key insights
Player performance profile
Elena Rybakina
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,252 points across 78 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,252 points across 78 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 7.6 | 100% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 36% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.6 | 63% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 58% | 67% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Elina Svitolina
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
61%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,858 points across 56 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,858 points across 56 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 86% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 89% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.7 | 53% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 55% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Elena Rybakina and Elina Svitolina are set to meet at the Madrid on April 27, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Rybakina enters with a 9–3 record on clay courts in 2025, while Svitolina has posted a 16–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Rybakina, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Rybakina leads 3–2 over Svitolina.