Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Daria Kasatkina · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 27, 2025 • 7:40 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Ekaterina Alexandrova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ekaterina Alexandrova
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,386 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,386 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.5 | 93% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 76% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.1 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 31% | 16% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Daria Kasatkina
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,184 points across 43 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,184 points across 43 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.7 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 54% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ekaterina Alexandrova and Daria Kasatkina are set to meet at the Madrid on April 27, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Alexandrova enters with a 13–5 record on clay courts in 2025, while Kasatkina has posted a 5–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Alexandrova entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kasatkina leads 3–2 over Alexandrova.