Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Jan-Lennard Struff · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 26, 2025 • 1:05 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Stefanos Tsitsipas
Key insights
Player performance profile
Stefanos Tsitsipas
100% · 3–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,497 points across 48 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,497 points across 48 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.2 | 92% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 47% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.1 | 41% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 76% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jan-Lennard Struff
60% · 3–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,415 points across 50 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,415 points across 50 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 64% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 35% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.0 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 51% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Stefanos Tsitsipas and Jan-Lennard Struff are set to meet at the Madrid on April 26, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Tsitsipas enters with a 7–5 record on clay courts in 2025, while Struff has posted a 5–8 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Tsitsipas, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Tsitsipas leads 3–2 over Struff, including a win in their most recent meeting.