Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Jan-Lennard Struff · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 26, 2025 • 1:05 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Stefanos Tsitsipas
Key insights
Player performance profile
Stefanos Tsitsipas
56% · 9–7 on hard
50% · 3–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,531 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,531 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.8 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 38% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.0 | 47% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 66% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jan-Lennard Struff
36% · 5–9 on hard
33% · 1–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,961 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,961 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 63% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 35% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.1 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 48% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Stefanos Tsitsipas and Jan-Lennard Struff are set to meet at the Madrid on April 26, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Tsitsipas enters with a 7–5 record on clay courts in 2025, while Struff has posted a 5–8 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Tsitsipas, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Tsitsipas leads 3–2 over Struff, including a win in their most recent meeting.