Lauren Davis vs Martha Matoula · Match odds & ELO prediction
W100 Charlottesville, VA • Clay • Apr 24, 2025 • 2:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Lauren Davis
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lauren Davis
33% · 3–6 on hard
50% · 7–7 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,189 points across 9 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,189 points across 9 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -7.1 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Martha Matoula
67% · 6–3 on hard
51% · 24–23 on clay
Games won (last 10)
42%
6 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 45% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 61% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.1 | 49% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lauren Davis and Martha Matoula are set to meet at the W100 Charlottesville, VA on April 24, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Davis enters with a 7–7 record on clay courts in 2025, while Matoula has posted a 24–23 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Davis leads 1–0 over Matoula, including a win in their most recent meeting.