Match analytics

Sonay Kartal vs Elina Svitolina · Match odds & ELO prediction

Madrid • Clay • Apr 25, 2025 • 1:15 PM

Clay

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Elina Svitolina

Key insights

Player performance profile

Sonay Kartal

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

60%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,310 points across 44 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
3.189% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.943% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.754% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
50%46% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Elina Svitolina

HARD

100% · 50 on hard

Games won (last 10)

61%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,858 points across 56 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.986% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
1.589% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.753% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
53%55% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Sonay Kartal and Elina Svitolina are set to meet at the Madrid on April 25, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Kartal enters with a 4–5 record on clay courts in 2025, while Svitolina has posted a 16–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Svitolina entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Svitolina leads 2–0 over Kartal, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Svitolina, who has won 5 of his last five matches, while Kartal has gone 2–3 over the same span.