Emma Raducanu vs Marta Kostyuk · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 25, 2025 • 2:30 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Marta Kostyuk
Key insights
Player performance profile
Emma Raducanu
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,966 points across 56 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,966 points across 56 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 64% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 78% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.8 | 85% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 66% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Marta Kostyuk
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
63%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,442 points across 56 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,442 points across 56 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.9 | 75% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.8 | 82% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.8 | 42% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 36% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Emma Raducanu and Marta Kostyuk are set to meet at the Madrid on April 25, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Raducanu enters with a 6–4 record on clay courts in 2025, while Kostyuk has posted a 6–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Kostyuk, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.