Alexei Popyrin vs Alexander Bublik · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 25, 2025 • 10:55 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Alexander Bublik
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexei Popyrin
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,371 points across 43 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,371 points across 43 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 54% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.2 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.4 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 55% | 64% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexander Bublik
100% · 4–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,534 points across 69 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,534 points across 69 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.8 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.8 | 81% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 68% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexei Popyrin and Alexander Bublik are set to meet at the Madrid on April 25, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Popyrin enters with a 9–6 record on clay courts in 2025, while Bublik has posted a 23–6 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Popyrin entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.