Matteo Gigante vs Francesco Maestrelli · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • Apr 25, 2025 • 9:40 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Matteo Gigante
Key insights
Player performance profile
Matteo Gigante
45% · 10–12 on hard
65% · 15–8 on clay
50% · 2–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,509 points across 23 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,509 points across 23 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 28% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.3 | 95% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.5 | 36% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 16% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Francesco Maestrelli
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~965 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~965 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.5 | 78% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.3 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +12.6 | 100% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Matteo Gigante and Francesco Maestrelli are set to meet at the Rome on April 25, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Gigante enters with a 15–8 record on clay courts in 2025, while Maestrelli has posted a 28–18 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Gigante, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Gigante leads 3–2 over Maestrelli, including a win in their most recent meeting.