Dayana Yastremska vs Coco Gauff · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 24, 2025 • 5:50 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Coco Gauff
Key insights
Player performance profile
Dayana Yastremska
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
42%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,333 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,333 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 51% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 54% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.3 | 86% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 77% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Coco Gauff
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,515 points across 71 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,515 points across 71 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 70% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.0 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.2 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 79% | 91% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Dayana Yastremska and Coco Gauff are set to meet at the Madrid on April 24, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Yastremska enters with a 8–5 record on clay courts in 2025, while Gauff has posted a 18–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Gauff entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Gauff leads 3–1 over Yastremska.