Vilius Gaubas vs Andrea Pellegrino · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • Apr 24, 2025 • 12:05 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Vilius Gaubas
Key insights
Player performance profile
Vilius Gaubas
33% · 3–6 on hard
65% · 36–19 on clay
50% · 1–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,860 points across 23 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,860 points across 23 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 78% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.4 | 96% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 88% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Andrea Pellegrino
0% · 0–5 on hard
67% · 37–18 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,736 points across 12 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,736 points across 12 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 62% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.8 | 81% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Vilius Gaubas and Andrea Pellegrino are set to meet at the Rome on April 24, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Gaubas enters with a 36–19 record on clay courts in 2025, while Pellegrino has posted a 37–18 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Gaubas leads 3–1 over Pellegrino, including a win in their most recent meeting.