Taylor Fritz vs Christopher O'Connell · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 25, 2025 • 1:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Taylor Fritz
Key insights
Player performance profile
Taylor Fritz
25% · 1–3 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,236 points across 73 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,236 points across 73 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 6.8 | 99% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 30% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.4 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 65% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Christopher O'Connell
33% · 1–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,327 points across 43 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,327 points across 43 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 38% | 23% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Taylor Fritz and Christopher O'Connell are set to meet at the Madrid on April 25, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Fritz enters with a 3–4 record on clay courts in 2025, while O'Connell has posted a 3–7 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Fritz entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Fritz leads 3–0 over O'Connell, including a win in their most recent meeting.