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Match analytics

Yunchaokete Bu vs Jacob Fearnley · Match odds & ELO prediction

Madrid • Clay • Apr 24, 2025 • 7:15 PM

Clay

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Jacob Fearnley

Key insights

Player performance profile

Yunchaokete Bu

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

49%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,500 points across 43 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.135% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.516% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-6.08% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
26%7% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Jacob Fearnley

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

50%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,167 points across 49 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-1.220% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.071% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+5.288% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
67%88% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Yunchaokete Bu and Jacob Fearnley are set to meet at the Madrid on April 24, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Bu enters with a 6–8 record on clay courts in 2025, while Fearnley has posted a 10–6 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Fearnley, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Fearnley leads 3–0 over Bu, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Bu and Fearnley alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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