Heather Watson vs Zarina Diyas · Match odds & ELO prediction
W100 Tokyo • Hard • Apr 23, 2025 • 4:00 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Heather Watson
Key insights
Player performance profile
Heather Watson
45% · 9–11 on hard
0% · 0–2 on clay
50% · 5–5 on grass
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,384 points across 17 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,384 points across 17 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 44% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.8 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.4 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Zarina Diyas
63% · 27–16 on hard
0% · 0–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~127 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~127 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 43% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.4 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.6 | 44% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Heather Watson and Zarina Diyas are set to meet at the W100 Tokyo on April 23, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Watson enters with a 9–11 record on hard courts in 2025, while Diyas has posted a 27–16 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Watson leads 2–1 over Diyas, including a win in their most recent meeting.