Lorenzo Sonego vs Miomir Kecmanovic · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 24, 2025 • 11:25 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Lorenzo Sonego
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lorenzo Sonego
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,381 points across 54 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,381 points across 54 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.5 | 79% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.4 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.5 | 69% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 46% | 38% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Miomir Kecmanovic
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,392 points across 54 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,392 points across 54 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 45% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 58% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.8 | 33% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 47% | 39% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lorenzo Sonego and Miomir Kecmanovic are set to meet at the Madrid on April 24, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Sonego enters with a 1–5 record on clay courts in 2025, while Kecmanovic has posted a 5–7 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Sonego entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Sonego leads 3–2 over Kecmanovic, including a win in their most recent meeting.