M. Uchijima vs Robin Montgomery · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 23, 2025 • 3:00 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner M. Uchijima
Key insights
Player performance profile
M. Uchijima
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,823 points across 52 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,823 points across 52 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -6.0 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 33% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.5 | 33% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 50% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Robin Montgomery
60% · 6–4 on hard
40% · 2–3 on clay
67% · 4–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,276 points across 17 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,276 points across 17 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.0 | 95% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 29% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.2 | 40% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
M. Uchijima and Robin Montgomery are set to meet at the Madrid on April 23, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Uchijima enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2025, while Montgomery has posted a 2–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Montgomery, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Uchijima leads 2–0 over Montgomery, including a win in their most recent meeting.