M. Uchijima vs Robin Montgomery · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 23, 2025 • 3:00 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner M. Uchijima
Key insights
Player performance profile
M. Uchijima
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,356 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,356 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -6.0 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.8 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 60% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Robin Montgomery
43% · 3–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,534 points across 19 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,534 points across 19 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 27% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 43% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
M. Uchijima and Robin Montgomery are set to meet at the Madrid on April 23, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Uchijima enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2025, while Montgomery has posted a 2–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Uchijima entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Uchijima leads 2–0 over Montgomery, including a win in their most recent meeting.