Anastasija Sevastova vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 23, 2025 • 9:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Anastasija Sevastova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Anastasija Sevastova
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
38%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,730 points across 19 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,730 points across 19 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 27% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.3 | 79% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,061 points across 27 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,061 points across 27 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 61% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 26% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.5 | 61% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 50% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Anastasija Sevastova and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova are set to meet at the Madrid on April 23, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Sevastova enters with a 5–5 record on clay courts in 2025, while Pavlyuchenkova has posted a 1–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Pavlyuchenkova entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.